Friday, November 20, 2009

NFL Week 11 Predictions

Alright since last week's NFL picks saved my arse, I figured why not ride the wave, and see what I can come up with this week. So welcome to the second edition of Walker Sports NFL picks this is for week 11.

Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys -11:
There is no doubt that this is my favorite rivalry in the NFL, and the fact that Walker Sports is based out of Washington DC just makes it better. The Washington Redskins have been on one crazy ride this season that has seen coaching rumors, new players and it has been a three ring circus. However, last week the Skins appeared to put it all together against Denver.

On the other side of the ball, the Dallas Cowboys were the hottest team in football till they ran into the Green Bay Packers last weekend. After a sloppy performance the typical rumors are swirling around the Cowboys and their inability to perform late in the season.

Despite a win last week, the Skins are horrible. They still have a shaky offensive line and a backup running back. Despite all of that the nature of this rivalry keeps things close. If the Cowboys are 1-15 they will get that one win against the Skins and vice-versa. For that reason I don't like the Cowboys odds to cover this 11 point spread.

Winner: Cowboys win the game but Washington covers the spread.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens -even: The Colts have been on a tear this season. Peyton Manning is without a doubt the MVP of the league as of right now. Indianapolis has no running game to speak of and that puts all the pressure on Peyton to make plays. Another issue the Colts are facing are injuries on their defense. The Colts have lost three starters for the season, and while they were able to cover that last week, Tom Brady and the Patriots were still able to score nearly at will.

The Ravens were one kicker away from being a top ranked team in the NFL. However, now they are hungry and they need to win to keep pace for the AFC Wild Card. The Ravens defense is not what it used to be, but they are still a dangerous group. Especially if they can face a team that is as one dimensional as the Colts.

This is a pick'em game with the spread set even. I like the Ravens to come through and pull the upset thanks to their new kicker.

Winner: Baltimore Ravens.
Chicago Bears vs. Philadelphia Eagles - 3: The Philadelphia Eagles are have lost Brian Westbrook for the season. Somehow I feel like we say this every year. What makes this year different, is the Eagles have some other options at the running back position. Hell, for what it's worth the Eagles have plenty of options in almost every position on the offense. They are an extremely talented and explosive team.

The Chicago Bears put together a horrible performance last week when Jay Cutler tossed five interceptions. Despite Cutler's lackluster performance, the Bears had a chance to win the game as the clock wound down. The key for the Bears on Sunday will be ball control. They need to run Matt Forte and keep the ball out of the hands of the Eagles high octane offense.

The spread is set at 3 points favoring Philadelphia. The Bears were able to overcome turnovers last week to keep pace. This weekend, the Eagles will capitalize on all mistakes and score.

Winner: Philadelphia Eagles

Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans -4.5: The Houston Texans are on Monday night football. Matt Schaub has put on a quiet clinic all season. You don't have to believe me just look at the fantasy numbers, Schaub is easily a top five performer. Luckily for the Texans, Schaub's fantasy numbers have translated into wins on the field.

The Tennessee Titians have quietly put their season back together, all though it is must likely too little too late. Perhaps the most surprising part is the revolution has been led by Vince Young. However, Young is not alone Chris Johnson has turned it on in the last few weeks, and he has been nearly unstoppable. Get him in the open field and he will score.

Winner: The Texans are a 4.5 point favorite, they have the fire power to cover that spread. However, take the over to cover yourself.


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